Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. This ranks as the 11th driest water year period (October 1st to September 30th) on record. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. ajgarrison - Flickr Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. . In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. NWS Tucson Arizona. Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. One daily temperature record was set. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). 2023 www.azcentral.com. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. The monthly average temperature of 71.4 is 1.2 BELOW normal and ranks as the 40th warmestOctober on record. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? Click on hotel for more details. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. It begins just at the backend. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. . At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. It's not . The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. All NOAA. Feb March 2023 . This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. Support local journalism. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. Amounts ranged from 1.00" to 4.50" with localized amounts up to 6.50". March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? Multiple locations were found. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. Please Contact Us. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. The average Summer temperature of 88.3 is 1.2 above normal and is well shy of the two warmest Summers on record (90.0 in 2020 & 89.9 in 1994). This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Winter, 2022. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. Will the huge Tongan volcano eruption last January have a role?