Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Maybe the stage is too big for him over here. He is 131st in driving accuracy, and while he ranks seventh in greens in regulation, he is 120th in proximity to the hole. Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Cantlay was in the top 40 in every strokes gained category last season, and he leads the tour in greens in regulation so far in this campaign. The cold putter is nothing new, but he has experienced a modicum of success on the PGA National greens in his career. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Will Gordon (66-1, BetMGM) Im surprised were getting such a good number on Gordon, one of the most talented players in the field. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Seriously. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. Hes been in the green on approach in five of the last six, and that pesky putter has shown brief glimpses of brilliance at the Sony Open and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. All winners this millennium had previously made a cut at Pebble Beach in their career before winning, and most had a top 10 finish on their resume. The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. Shot Link data is only available for Pebble Beach GL. Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts. PGA Tour Fantasy Golf Select your lineup of 4 starters and two bench players to enter. This mitigates the advantage of the premier drivers in the world, aka most of the elite players, and combined with a lack of elite golfers at the top end in this event, it has opened the door for long-shot winners. fantasy picks | GolfDigest.com Showing 1 - 10 of 9,065 PGA Tour Genesis Invitational, topped by Tiger Woods, has impressively loaded field. Abraham Ancer played in the final group of the Masters in November, but he's still looking for his first PGA Tour victory. For the Genesis Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including one priced around 30-1. He just split ways with his caddie that he has pretty much had since getting his PGA Tour card, and any caddie knows that a player will usually ball out the first week with a new caddie. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. Matt Kuchar: Kinda hard to ignore Kuchar at the moment, who has been in the top 10 in two of his last four starts. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Three of the past six winners Potter, Nick Taylor and Vaughn Taylor all went off at triple digits. Golf DFS Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo makes his 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks while breaking down the field and rankings for the event and previewing the course and key stats. To go along with four made cuts in five appearances at PGA National, Poston also possesses a strong resume on courses with lots of water that emphasize middle irons, with high finishes at TPC Twin Cities, TPC Sawgrass and TPC Southwind. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. Min Woo Lee: MWL is making the rare US start, so it will be interesting to see if his great DP World Tour form carries over this week. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. You can see it at SportsLine. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-fantasy-golf-picks-lineups-advice-rankings-top-golf-expert-says-fade-jon-rahm | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Routinely, they will point us to players who are undervaluedbased on their betting odds and fantasy salary prices. Sure, he didnt play great on the west coast, which actually improves his value here. Who wins the 2023 Genesis Invitational? One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Recently, weve seen the irons get hot at certain times, too. The latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Rahm as the 13-2 favorite, and he is the highest-priced golfer at DraftKings at $10,800. PGA TOUR Fantasy. Put your knowledge to the test. Hes reeled off four straight Top 25 finishes in this event and is one of the only players in the world who seems to have the ability to be the best or worst player in any field with his irons round-to-round. He is in the top 35 in every strokes gained category, including 13th around the green and 21st putting. Fading Hideki Matsuyama was also the right move, as the defending champ barely cracked the top 50. Thats normally his bread and butter so to see him struggle there is raising massive red flags. 6. From Gdula: This might be a name unfamiliar to some casual fans. See more in GNN's affiliate disclosure. Each week hosts Christopher Powers, Alex Myers, and Steve Hennessey, along with special guests from across the sports and entertainment worlds, will touch on what's going in the game . Void in ONT. Genesis: Justin Thomas. You can play our free fantasy game and see how you measure up against our experts below. But since hes struggled in his return from injury were getting a nice discount on the Ryder Cupper off a 12th-place finish at Riviera. Hes one of the longest hitters off-the-tee and is showing improvements both on and around the putting surfaces. Watson lost strokes putting in 11 of his final 14 events. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. 2. Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com. Lack: Adam Long (+1100, DraftKings) Ill take a chance this week and fire away on a long shot to pay off nicely for me in the top-10 market. Matchup Results from the Genesis Invitational: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-130) over Im); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-110) over Burns); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Cantlay (-111) over Morikawa); Gehman: PUSH (Hovland (-120) over Young); Mayo: 0 for 1; Powers: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-5-0 (up 5.1 units); Gehman: 9-5-2 (up 3.01 units); Lack: 4-3-0 (up 0.7 units); Powers: 8-8-0 (down 0.37 units); Mayo: 7-8-0 (down 1.56 units); Caddie: 7-9-0 (down 2.46 units); Gdula: 5-10-1 (down 5.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Honda Classic. Powers, Golf Digest: Ben Griffin (+100) over Cameron Davis (DraftKings) Sneaky bullish this week on Ben Griffin, a North Carolina man through and through who does well on Bermuda and is a machine on approach. This allows him to find the best PGA DFS values and create optimal lineups that he shares only over at SportsLine. Who wins the 2023 Sony Open, and who are the top players to target for your Fantasy picks? Green sizes at Pebble Beach at just 3,500 square feet. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. While I am dubious on the 35-year-olds chances to raise the trophy, I expect him to find his way into contention this week in Palm Beach Gardens. For more fantasy, check out Qualifiers and Reshuffle. With a 16th-place finish at TPC Twin Cities and a 13th-place finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, its clear that he does his best work on water-logged courses that place an emphasis on keeping the ball in play off the tee and middle-iron play, and I expect him to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon at PGA National. Houston Open: Jason Day. He's been able to consistently find himself in the mix thanks to his impeccable accuracy. Mayo: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Maybe hes actually priced properly, but even with the weak field, I cant bet him at a shorter price than I laid with Homa last week. Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Powers, Golf Digest: Matt Kuchar (30-1, DraftKings) Really nice finish last week for Kuch, but lets pump the brakes here. He's also missed the cut just once in his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour, consistently providing value for those who roster him in their PGA DFS lineups. PGA DFS players entering tournaments, cash games, or 50-50s on FanDuel or DraftKings for the 2023 Sony Open will have plenty of tough choices to make. His last eight starts on the DP World Tour have all yielded top-13 finishes with five top-fours during that run. In his past six starts, hes gained over six strokes on approach and lost over six in separator starts. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Matsuyama is the defending champion of this event and he's won eight times on the PGA Tour. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our DFS expert's case for playing this breakout star at PGA National. Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. But hey, if youre here, youre a diehard sicko golf fan like us, and you can still find the beauty in a week like this one. At last week's Phoenix Open, four of the expert's top eight picks finished in the top 10, a group that included winner Scheffler. Hes a good tee-to-green golfer with the ability to pick up distance whenever possible, and the putter can get hot. Powers: Chris Kirk The Florida Swing is when Chris Kirk eats and youd have to think this would be his best chance to finally break his win drought against a weak field. Out of those players listed, Wolffs odds have the best valueyou can find Wolff to win the PGA Championship at 50-1 odds. RELATED: Legal gambling on pro golf has surged in recent yearsand there's much more to come. For the 2022 BMW Championship, Gates is touting a massive sleeper for fantasy rosters who is priced at less than $7,000 at DraftKings . Pebble Beach is annually the course with the shortest average drive on TOUR (264 yards vs. 283 yards) and the one with the fewest amount of drives over 300 yards (nine percent). American Express: Brian Harman. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere. Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR . I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. In my opinion, Wise is a top-five player in this field, behind only Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry and Billy Horschel, and we are catching him at a more than fair price due to his slow start to the season. Perhaps hes close to putting it altogether at Honda, where hes finished 17th and 12th in his last two appearances. Monterey Peninsula has the largest greens in the rotation at 6,000 square feet, which is still slightly below TOUR average. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. He has played nine non-major PGA Tour/KFT events in the last year and has made the cut in one of those. See terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Pat Mayo breaks down the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. For 2020, he ranked eighth in strokes gained/off the tee, one spot behind Bubba Watson and one spot ahead of Xander Schauffele. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Our betting panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from PGA National; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; Gdula and your two authorstends to run hot once one of us hits an outright. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+330, DraftKings) The former Georgia Bulldog drives it so dang straight, which is an absolute weapon at PGA National. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. On the other hand, the expert says Cantlay has just the kind of well-rounded game that he needs to succeed in The American Express. From Gdula: Munoz is one of the most balanced golfers in the world. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. From Mayo: Can Bubba fix his broken putter? Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media. Gehman: Joseph Bramlett (50-1, DraftKings) Bramlett enters the week having made seven straight cuts and earning a T-13 in La Jolla and T-7 in Pebble Beach over his last two. You can find out who it is, and check out all of Holliman's PGA picks, only at SportsLine. The putter, however, was just abysmal. The Sony Open in Hawaii "It's a matter of when (not if) he gets his first on the PGA Tour," Holliman said of Kim. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Honda Classic. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Gambling problem? 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The 28-year-old is one of the best on the planet, but he was 143rd in strokes gained around the green last season, and his putter can be streaky.